PPP CO Poll: Obama Up By 10

By Jeralyn, Section Elections 2008
Posted on Fri Oct 31, 2008 at 11:47:29 AM EST
Tags: Barack Obama, John McCain, 2008 (all tags)

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Public Policy Polling has released new state polls. In Colorado, Obama leads by 17 among those who have already voted and 10 overall:

65% of the folks we surveyed said they had already voted, and among those respondents Obama is winning 58-41. Folks planning to vote on election day support John McCain 50-47, bringing Obama's overall lead down to ten points.

...Two of the main factors driving Obama’s success in the state continue to be his strong standing with independents and Hispanic voters. He is up 60-36 with voters who don’t identify with either party, and he has a 65-33 lead with Hispanics, the fastest growing voter bloc in the state.

In the Senate race, Democrat Mark Udall is now up by 17.

Full Colorado results are here (pdf).

< McCain In Arizona Monday Night | Final PPP State Polls: Obama Leading Big Among Independents >

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PPP CO Poll: Obama Up By 10 | 4 comments (4 topical)

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I wonder how many. . . (none / 0) (#1)
by LarryInNYC on Fri Oct 31, 2008 at 11:52:22 AM EST

of the 35% not-yet-voted will actually vote?

I think there's a real potential for a pretty substantial number of McCain voters simply not bothering to show up.

This early voting thing is a whole new world. But I can't believe there's that much difference in the early vs. day-of results.

Are you ready to call... (none / 0) (#2)
by MileHi Hawkeye on Fri Oct 31, 2008 at 03:24:30 PM EST

...CO for Obama yet, Jeralyn? Or are you still "studying" the matter?

I was ready until yesterday (none / 0) (#3)
by Jeralyn on Fri Oct 31, 2008 at 07:37:17 PM EST

When Obama just decided to add another stop to Colorado tomorrow (Pueblo) -- and now it seems Michelle who was here the other day is coming back Monday. Why, if it's a lock? Their internal polling must be showing something different. Think I'll write a post on this.


: I tend to think... (none / 0) (#4)
by MileHi Hawkeye on Fri Oct 31, 2008 at 07:48:18 PM EST

...they want as big a popular vote margin as they can get--in addition to an Electorial College one.
That would explain the appearance in Des Moines today too.
They've been pretty consistant in saying that they wouldn't be satisfied in "running out the clock". Good idea in my book, keep playing until the final whistle blows.
Playing for that mandate.
The Musgrave/Markey race is going to be the real nail-biter.