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In order to declare seat losses as a victory, the extreme Right Wing Republican web site Red State is already playing an expectations game:
Now - and just so that we're all clear - the consensus of the media, the polls and Tradesports is that the GOP is definitely going to lose the House of Representatives and probably the Senate, yes*? They're all saying that it's a done deal, yes? Everybody who's anybody on the Democratic side is endorsing that conclusion, yes? And it's all supposedly inevitable at this point, yes? What? (shrug) No reason: I just want to make sure that I've clearly understood the Other Side's position on this, 72 hours out.
Note to Republicans, ignorant predictions of an election result is NOT a political position.
The Iraq Debacle is a political issue. Minimum wage is a political issue. The Paris Hilton tax cut is a political issue. Stem cell research is a political issue. GOP corruption is a political issue.
Predictions for the election is not.
By the way, is this the "position" of the GOP side? Just so we can keep score you know?(4 comments) Permalink :: Comments
We think of elections as accountability moments for our elected officials. And it should be that. But this election is just as much, it seems to me, an accountability moment for the American electorate. For it the Republicans are maintained in power, after the last six years, then we have the government we deserve.
In an editorial today, the New York Times said:
This election is indeed about George W. Bush — and the Congressional majority’s insistence on protecting him from the consequences of his mistakes and misdeeds. Mr. Bush lost the popular vote in 2000 and proceeded to govern as if he had an enormous mandate. After he actually beat his opponent in 2004, he announced he now had real political capital and intended to spend it. We have seen the results. It is frightening to contemplate the new excesses he could concoct if he woke up next Wednesday and found that his party had maintained its hold on the House and Senate.
So yes this is indeed an moment of accountability for the Rubberstamp Republican Congress. But it is just as much a moment of accountability for the American People.
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President Bush spent an hour today in Greeley, Colorado trying to sell Marilyn Musgrave, and to a lesser extent, gubernatorial candidate Bob Beauprez to those in attendance.
"She has worked to prevent the family institution of marriage from being redefined by activist judges. She understand your values, and that’s another reason to send her back to the United States Congress."
We'll see about that. One young woman in attendance who voted for Bush the first time around but wouldn't again, and who although an independent has already voted for Angie Paccione, Musgrave's Democratic challenger, had this to say about the war:
"I think all it’s resulting in is a generation that will hate America even more."
How true.
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From esteemed appellate lawyer Peter G. in the comments:
In Pennsylvania, where I live, the Republican committees are working as hard as they can, not so much to get out their vote as to suppress and discourage ours. They are flooding Democratic households, particularly those with regular voters, with telephone robocalls which begin: "I'm calling with important information about {name of Democratic candidate}." Identical calls are placed repeatedly to the same household, often at inconvenient or even disruptive hours (late at night). The calls violate election law by failing to identify up front who sponsored them. Many people think the calls are in support of the named candidate, but in fact the message is deceptive and false. Thus, if the caller hangs up right away in frustration, s/he is likely to think the Dem is to blame; this is the goal, to make people mad and reluctant to vote for the candidate. Or if they listen, they are being bombarded with a negative message.
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I do not predict election results in a global way, +16 to +43 seems a silly exercise to me. But a lot of folks have fun with it. So here's your chance, tell us how it is going to come out Tuesday night.
Oh, and here are two Senate races I do give you for free like you needed me for thiese two) - Santorum has been toast for a year. Dewine is also toast. As for the rest, anything COULD happen (though, to be honest, I think Ford is gone, but hope I am wrong.)
Your predictions please. House and Senate.
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How bad is it for the GOP this cycle? Consider this, the issue being pushed by the extreme Right Wing blog Red State is that Democratic candidate for Congress in the 9th district of Indiana, Baron Hill, was not the official 100 yard dash record holder in high school as he claims, because he did not run his record dash in the state finals. I kid you not:
Hill’s campaign biography said he set the dash record while at Seymour High School and continued to hold it. But the Indiana High School Athletic Association lists someone else as the record holder for running a time of 9.5 seconds during the state finals of the 1965-66 school year. According to Seymour High School, Hill ran a 100-yard dash in 9.5 seconds at a 1970 track meet. But because it was not part of the state finals, the IHSAA does not count it as tying the record.
Lies about war? Who cares? But whether the man was the OFFICIAL recordholder (there is no dispute he ran a record tying time) is a disqualifying issue. The Republicans are beyond pathetic this cycle.
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Republicans say they have the better program for getting out the vote, one devised by Karl Rove.
party strategists crow that they have the ultimate advantage, which will hold down their congressional losses and enable them to maintain their majorities in the House and the Senate: a massive voter turnout machine that even some Democratic Party officials admit exceeds their own.
They are gearing up for the latest iteration of the 72-Hour Plan — a brainchild of top Bush White House aide Karl Rove and his protégé, Republican National Committee Chairman (RNC) Ken Mehlman — in which GOP operatives and volunteers flood into states and districts with competitive races to generate turnout.
Democrats say they have been catching up. But several experts believe they are not quite there. What can you do to help?
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3 days to go. It's been at least 20 years since an election had the possibility of a big Democratic Congressional victory like that possible this year. Key word - POSSIBLE. GOTV and pushing to the end is required from Democrats everywhere now.
But the fact is, the Republicans remain the Democrats' most potent political topic:
This may be the closing weekend from hell for the White House. First, the mainstream media is savoring the Ted Haggard controversy; it led network newscasts last night. Then, those brave neo-cons who pined for a war with Saddam Hussein essentially regurgitate all over the entire Bush national security team in Vanity Fair. Vice President Cheney, in an interview with George Stephanopoulos yesterday, looked shell-shocked.Then the Los Alamos security breach.
Then, of course, the news that the four independent and influential newspapers that serve the branches of the military will jointly call on Monday for the resignation of Donald Rumsfeld in an editorial entitled "Time For Rumsfeld To Go."
Cheney, on ABC, said it was "full speed ahead" with the admin's Iraq policy.
"It may not be popular with the public — it doesn't matter in the sense that we have to continue the mission and do what we think is right. And that's exactly what we're doing," Cheney said. "We're not running for office. We're doing what we think is right."
The contrast between Dems and the GOP could not be sharper - thanks to the GOP. I am an eternal pessimist, but rationally speaking, I think it is going to be hard to pick against Dems taking control of both House and Senate.
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A new Newsweek poll finds that Republicans are not gaining momentum in the final days before the election, despite the stumping by Bush and Cheney. Rather, they are falling farther behind.
53 percent of Americans want the Democrats to win enough seats to take control of one or both houses of Congress in the midterm elections on Tuesday. Those results are close to early October levels, while less than a third of Americans (32 percent) want Republicans to retain control. If the elections were held today, 54 percent of likely voters say they would support the Democratic candidate in their district versus 38 percent who would vote for the Republican-a 16-point edge for the Democrats.
The war in Iraq is the most critical issue to voters.
....nearly a third of registered voters (32 percent) now say Iraq is the most important issue in deciding their vote. The economy comes in second at 19 percent. And just 12 percent say terrorism, the Republican trump card in the last three elections, is their most important issue. In fact, as millions of Americans fill in their employers’ health-care selection forms for next year, terrorism is statistically tied with health care at 11 percent.
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The Democrats need to win six Republican seats to control the Senate. I'm no numbers cruncher, but most seem to agree Missouri, Virginia and Tennessee are the hot states to watch.
With polls showing that the war may strongly influence many voters' decisions, analysts in both parties agreed that Missouri, Virginia and Tennessee are the keys to controlling the 100-member Senate, where Democrats need to gain six seats to claim the majority
I'm wondering whether Harold Ford can carry Tennessee. He would be the first African-American elected to the Senate from the South in more than a century. Republicans have funded tons of last minute advertising dollars into his opponent Bob Corker's camaign.
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President Bush is spending the night in Colorado. Veep Dick Cheney rallied the troops here this afternoon and campaigned for Republican Doug Lamborn, who even the Republicans don't like and who is running neck and neck with Democrat Jay Fawcett in the heavily Republican district that includes Colorado Springs, home to the evangelical right.
Bush is headed to Greeley to campaign for the mother of the anti-gay marriage amendment, Marilyn Musgrave.
He may be too late. The latest poll shows Musgrave and her Democratic opponent, Angie Paccione, in a dead heat.
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Michigan voters will decide on Tuesday whether to ban affirmative action in university admissions.
Newsweek reporter Ellis Cose has completed a report Killing Affirmative Action (pdf) for the USC Annenberg Institute for Justice and Journalism. The school's site also provides this helpful list of links on the topic.
Towards the end of the lengthy report, Cose writes:
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