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As the Election Results Come In

Tomorrow night, when the results begin coming in, check out this handy New York Tinmes interactive, 512 paths to the White House. It shows you each candidates ways of winning after states have been gained or eliminated. Pretty cool. You can start playing with it now. I love getting to part where it says Obama has 2 routes left, Romney none. It may be more accurate than many of the pundits.

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Election Day Radio

It's Election Day! And Daily Kos Radio, in conjunction with our great friends at Netroots Radio, will be providing comprehensive coverage all day and all of the night.

It's starts this morning as I sit in for Kagro in the Morning, which returns for post-election breakdowns and deep thoughts on Wednesday morning in its usual 9-11 AM ET slot.

I'm LIVE at 9 AM, thanks to NetrootsRadio.com.

After Netroots Radio programming carries you through the rest of the day, Daily Kos Radio and Netroots Radio return at 6 PM ET for our special Election Night coverage, as the first polls in the nation close in Indiana (Down goes Mourdock! (Fingers crossed)). Fripp will guide us through and you will hear from Greg Dworkin for an overview on what to expect and look for Election Night, Denise Oliver Velez, Dopper, Adam Bonin on what's happening in Pennsylvania, and much much much more.

Listen LIVE here:The Daily Kos Radio Player Can't see the Flash player? Click here to download the stream directly.

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Obama's Last Rally Live

President Obama's final campaign rally is in Des Moines, IA tonight, with Michelle Obama and Bruce Springsteen. It begins at 9:30 pm CT (10:30 ET, 8:30 MT). You can watch live here. Or on C-Span.

If you know any undecided voters, or any who are wobbling, send them the link. Instead of listening to pundits and pollsters, tell them to listen to the President. He makes his own best case. [More...]

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Mormon Women Explain Their Support for Obama

Via the Washington Post: 9 Mormon women explain why they support President Barack Obama over Mitt Romney. Some Snippets:

  • "Mitt Romney and his plans for America are foreign to my faith values. He has shown behind closed doors how he truly feels about our nation’s poor and vulnerable, while Obama has sought to protect social programs, foreign aid, and real healthcare protections for those who desperately need it."


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Obama Makes His Case For Re-Election

President Obama makes the case for his re-election. Shorter version: We can move forward or fall back. [All quotes from @BarackObama]

  • "I said we'd repeal 'Don't Ask, Don't Tell', we ended it."
  • "I said we’d crack down on reckless practices on Wall Street, and we did."
  • "I said that I'd end the war in Iraq, and I ended it."
  • "I said I'd pass health care reform, and I passed it.

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Challenges to Romney's Electoral Vote Path

I'm still creating various scenarios with CNN's electoral vote map. It seems to me Mitt Romney has the more limited paths to victory.

Even if Romney wins Ohio, Virginia, and Florida, given the leanings of the other battleground states, he will need Colorado or New Hampshire to reach 270. He can't lose both. (Added: Changed from saying he needs both.)See map below: [More...]

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Obama's Final CO Visit: Mile Long Line, Hours To Go

Update: 10:45: President Obama has arrived. More at the bottom of the thread.

Update: Live stream here, Dave Matthews is singing. 10:25 p.m: The President's plane has touched down. Turnout: 20,000 supporters

The line to see President Obama tonight at the Community College of Aurora – Lowry Campus began hours ago and quickly grew to over a mile long according to CBS News4 Colorado -- some say 1.5 miles. President Obama is not scheduled to speak until 10:25 pm, and may be a little late since he left Cincinnati late. Dave Matthews will perform a solo acoustic set.


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Mitt Romney Lectures Radio Host on Mormonism and Abortion

Update 11/5: The video has now been viewed 1.8 million times.

Here is the real Mitt Romney. Via the Washington Post, Mitt Romney doesn't like talking about his religion these days, but in 2007, he was quite vocal about it, lecturing a radio host about the principles of his church and his stand on abortion.

His temperament hasn't changed much, it's the Romney attitude we saw at the debates -- Let me talk and it's my way or the highway. [More...]

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Obama Up in Iowa, Ohio; Returns to Colorado Tonight

Update: Final national poll before election day: WSJ/NBC poll has Obama 48, Romney 47. Here is the actual poll. Voters with a "very positive" view of Obama: 40%. For Romney, only 25%. Who is better prepared to lead the country? Obama 46%, Mitt 42%. I'm not sure how representative the sample is. 37% identified themselves as conservative, to 25% who identified as liberal. 23% are retired, only 4% are unemployed because they can't find a job, 48% have college/post-college/law degrees and 26% earn more than $100k per year.

A new Des Moines Register poll shows President Obama up 5 points. [More...]

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Obama: It's All Up to You, Who Do You Trust More?

President Obama in Virginia yesterday: It's all up to you.

“It’s up to you. You’ve got the power,” Obama said. “That’s how democracy’s supposed to be.”

Obama in New Hampshire today:

"Part of this election is not about policy. It's also about who do you trust."

And, have faith in me and we'll win.

"I know I look a little bit older, but I've got a lot of fight left in me. I am not ready to give up on the fight," Mr. Obama shouted in a hoarse voice to a crowd of about 14,000 in Concord. "If you're willing to work with me... if you're willing to turn out for me, we'll win New Hampshire, we'll win this election."


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Romney May Need Both VA and PA to Win

Nate Silver explains Mitt Romney's last-minute push for Pennsylvania. Maybe it's also why President Obama brought Bill Clinton to Virginia yesterday (where 25,000 turned out to cheer them.)

Mr. Romney’s campaign may be thinking about a map like this one, in which he wins Pennsylvania in order to claim 273 electoral votes. If Mr. Romney did so, he could win the presidency despite losing Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa and Nevada.

Mr. Romney could not afford to lose Virginia, where he is narrowly behind in the polling average, or Florida, where he is narrowly ahead. He could also not afford to lose Colorado, unless he won New Hampshire.

President Obama and Bill Clinton were in New Hampshire this morning where 14,000 turned out. CBS says only 10% of NH voters use early voting. [More}

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Sunday Electoral Maps

I posted some electoral college result scenarios here, but I've now whittled them down to three. Obama wins in all three: In his worst case scenario, he wins with 271 electors. The second has him winning with 280. In his best scenario, he wins with 299.

At this point, I think Meatloaf would have to bring his Bats of out of Hell for Romney to win. The maps are below: [More...]

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